A spatio-temporal model with multi-city mobility for COVID-19 epidemic

Keywords

Epidemiological Modeling
Code:
42/2020
Title:
A spatio-temporal model with multi-city mobility for COVID-19 epidemic
Date:
Thursday 25th June 2020
Author(s):
Miglio, E.; Parolini, N.; Quarteroni, A.; Verani, M.; Zonca, S.
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Abstract:
The COVID-19 epidemic is the last of a long list of pandemics that have affected human kind in the last century. The virus spread very quickly all over the world due to the structure of modern society where mobility is very high. In this paper we aim at a critical study of a multi-city model consisting of 8 compartments for describing the spreading of a disease. A convenient parameter calibration is implemented with the aim of reproducing the past history of the epidemic and of exploring its predicting capabilities.